In its latest economic forecast for the state, below, Governor Josh Green’s administration points to a tourism downturn, particularly related to last summer’s devastating Maui wildfires. But on closer inspection, there appear to be far more complex factors influencing visitor decisions to Hawaii.
“Almost everyone is losing patience with the Lahaina Strong fishing gang, frustrated by $1,000-a-night hotel bills and three meals a day, who camped on the beach and demanded ‘dignified housing.’ Six months later, even the fire survivors are telling them to get a job and stop waiting for houses to fall from the sky. But the people our mayor has chosen to pander to are the ones who want everything given to them. Forever.”
“katf” is a regular commentator on Maui.
Tourists are beginning to question Hawaii’s paradise appeal for a variety of reasons, including in part the Lahaina fires, but also growing anti-tourism sentiment fueled by previous beach protests, controversy over vacation rentals, and increasingly stringent tourist regulations, as well as the prohibitive costs. These issues combine to pose a major obstacle to tourism recovery for Maui and Hawaii.
While Governor Josh Green’s government has blamed natural disasters and the general state of the U.S. economy for Hawaii’s tourism slump, there are deeper, more worrying circumstances at play.
Hawaii’s tourism industry won’t recover until 2027, according to the state.
State officials, including data showing the recovery will continue for two years longer than initially expected, may continue to highlight the fires as the cause of tourism’s decline. Still, for many potential visitors, the decision to stay away seems rooted in broader questions and concerns.
The situation in Hawaii is part of a larger debate that continues to question the viability and sustainability of tourism, concerns that have been exacerbated by local resentment over overwhelming numbers of tourists.
“The extreme costs, protests and still-changing regulatory environment surrounding vacation rentals paint a picture of Hawaii as a destination at a crossroads, struggling to balance the economic benefits of tourism with the well-being of local communities and environmental protections.”
Beat of Hawaii Editorial Department.
As Hawaii continues to face serious challenges with regards to its only economic driver, tourism, there is an urgent need to address not only the impact of the fires, but also the deeper systemic issues that are deterring tourism and could worsen it in the future.
The Department of Business, Economic Development and Tourism (DBEDT), quoted in Green’s press release, predicts a slow economic recovery until 2027, and that tourism numbers won’t fully recover until at least then. But this situation isn’t just about external economic pressures and the scars left by the devastating fires. There is also a growing sense that Hawaii’s government has been slow to recognize, or outright ignored, growing discontent among mainland tourists who are beginning to feel unwelcome amid uncontrollable costs, highly visible protests and regulatory changes targeting Hawaii tourism.
This sentiment contrasts with Europe’s booming tourism sector, where countries are breaking visitor records. Both new and repeat visitors to Hawaii are changing their itineraries to other exotic destinations that are more welcoming and better value, highlighting a major misstep by Hawaii’s tourism strategists.
In the islands, the causes of this discontent are multiple: expanding vacation rental restrictions, frequent protests on beaches, and public outcry over overtourism have created an image of a destination at a crossroads. Despite these significant challenges, state coverage focuses only on high-profile disasters like the Maui wildfires, ignoring the less visible but larger shifts in tourist perceptions and local sentiment.
Economic data paint a striking picture, including declining visitor numbers and spending, a decline in state general excise tax revenues, and even a decline in the workforce across all counties. Maui has been hit the hardest. While some sectors, such as construction, are showing growth, tourism, the core of Hawaii’s economy, is faltering under the weight of both perceived and unperceived pressures.
As Hawaii grapples with these challenges, moving forward requires an honest reevaluation of how the state perceives and responds to visitors. A more balanced approach that recognizes the contributions tourism makes to local economies while respecting and protecting the well-being of local communities and the dignity of the environment is more important than ever.
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Governor Josh Green, MD News Release DBEDT Predicts Slow Economic Growth in 2024
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